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Posts by HTS
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2019-04-02 at 6:22 AM UTC in The Monty Hall Problem (math riddle)
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2019-04-02 at 5:15 AM UTC in ATTN: LannyI run Window 10 and don't keep it fully updated. I like to live dangerously.
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2019-04-01 at 10:38 PM UTC in where the fuck is my fucking jaw supposed to sitNOBODY TAUGHT US THE IMPORTANT THINGS LIKE HOW TO DO TAXES AND WHERE OUR JAWS WERE SUPPOSED TO BE
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2019-04-01 at 3:01 PM UTC in HURR APRIL FOOLSOP got prank'd LOL
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2019-04-01 at 1:25 PM UTC in The Monty Hall Problem (math riddle)
Originally posted by Lanny Right, that's the point. If you think about the situation before the elimination there was a 2/3 chance of the prize being behind one of the doors you didn't pick. There remains a 2/3 chance that you were wrong in your initial pick, even after one of the doors was eliminated, since the other door is the only place the prize could be if it isn't the one you picked, then there's a 2/3 chance of it being there.
It's weird, I didn't believe it at first. I remember thinking about it for a couple of days and being like "no way dude", I wrote a simple program to test it many many times and it turns out the 2/3 chance of winning thing is borne out empirically.
My favorite "riddle" is this one my friend told me where it's basically set up to sound like a reframing of the monty hall problem, but like it's set up differently so the intuitive line of thinking holds (switching does nothing). So smart asses who have heard of the monty hall problem will be like "you gotta switch" without actually thinking through the scenario and be wrong. Something about exploiting people's willingness to recognize the similar setup and immediately assume it's monty hall cracks me up, it's like some kind of brain trap.
Mossad changed the code to your simple program so that you'd get that result and start to believe their jedi lies. How can you trust empiricism if you are capable of being fooled by jedi trickery? -
2019-04-01 at 1:12 PM UTC in Man wearing MAGA hat slashes another man with a sword
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2019-03-31 at 10:20 PM UTC in The Monty Hall Problem (math riddle)
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2019-03-31 at 9:17 PM UTC in The Monty Hall Problem (math riddle)
Originally posted by whoami No because when the game is set up there's only 1 out of 3 configurations where your initial choice is the prize, that still holds true after Monty selectively opens one of the doors, meaning the other 2/3 is accounted for by the only remaining option.
But he's always going to remove a door with nothing behind it. It's always going to come down to 2 doors, one of which has a thing and the other doesn't. The fact that he eliminates an irrelevant door doesn't change anything. Math is retarded. Reeeeee.
You can't fool me with your jedi kabbalah maths magic. -
2019-03-31 at 8:34 PM UTC in The Monty Hall Problem (math riddle)
Originally posted by whoami You double the odds of winning from 1/3 to 2/3 by switching. Most people get this wrong because they treat it as a standard probability problem and don't account for the fact that Monty Hall knows which door has the prize behind it and isn't opening them at random.
Right, which just means that you can be sure that either the door you have selected or the door remaining has the prize. 50/50. Math is retarded. Fuck math. -
2019-03-31 at 7:03 PM UTC in The Monty Hall Problem (math riddle)Counter-intuitively, due to some mathematical mumbo jumbo, allegedly it's better to switch in this case. It should, by all rights, be 50/50 odds on either door. But it's not. Because math.
Fuck math. -
2019-03-31 at 7 PM UTC in The Monty Hall Problem (math riddle)WHO ARE YOU? ARE YOU HE? GHEYCROW IS ME.
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2019-03-31 at 2:12 AM UTC in Gingers are fucking vile>actual white people are gross
okay, mediterranean handsome and well tanned individual -
2019-03-28 at 12:29 PM UTC in Do you take it 'one day at a time'?I take it a planck at a time.
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2019-03-28 at 11:14 AM UTC in CandyRein has turned Risir into a bitch nigger...
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2019-03-28 at 10:14 AM UTC in Goodbye
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2019-03-28 at 10:10 AM UTC in I just fucked up my ankle in some way or otherOof. That sucks, OP. I slipped on a tiny hill a year ago and shattered the fuck out of my tibia/fibula. Are you gonna need to get pins/rods inserted?
Hopefully they give you some decent pain meds. -
2019-03-28 at 10:07 AM UTC in CandyRein has turned Risir into a bitch nigger...
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2019-03-28 at 9:48 AM UTC in CandyRein has turned Risir into a bitch nigger...
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2019-03-28 at 9:43 AM UTC in CandyRein has turned Risir into a bitch nigger...The fact that RisiR isn't posting anymore makes me really happy. Not because I hate him or anything - quite the opposite. I get the feeling he's not miserable and doesn't really need this shit hole anymore. He deserves to be happy like that.
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2019-03-28 at 9:15 AM UTC in How are you feeling at the moment..In this moment, I feel euphoric. Not because of any phony god's blessing. But because, I am enlightened by my intelligence.
