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Military Genius Zelensky wants Ukrainians to throw molotovs at Russian tanks
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2022-08-15 at 5:17 PM UTC
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2022-08-16 at 11:32 AM UTCThe following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2022-08-16 at 12:08 PM UTC
Originally posted by Sophie Yes. I am 100% for Nexit. Fuck the EU.
Lol balkanizing Europe again would be fucking hilarious.
Long-term impact on the UK economy
Further information: UK cost of living crisis
There was overwhelming or near-unanimous agreement among economists that leaving the European Union would adversely affect the British economy in the medium- and long-term.[a][38] Surveys of economists in 2016 showed overwhelming agreement that Brexit would likely reduce the UK's real per-capita income level.[39][29][30] 2017 and 2019 surveys of existing academic research found that the credible estimates ranged between GDP losses of 1.2–4.5% for the UK,[38] and a cost of between 1 and 10% of the UK's income per capita.[23] These estimates varied depending on whether the UK left via a 'hard' or 'soft' Brexit.[23] In January 2018, the UK government's own Brexit analysis was leaked; it showed that UK economic growth would be stunted by 2–8% for at least 15 years following Brexit, depending on the leave scenario.[40][41]
According to most economists, EU membership has a strong positive effect on trade and, as a result, the UK's trade would be worse off when it left the EU.[42][43][44][45] According to a study by University of Cambridge economists, under a hard Brexit, whereby the UK reverts to WTO rules, one-third of UK exports to the EU would be tariff-free, one-quarter would face high trade barriers and other exports risk tariffs in the range of 1–10%.[46] A 2017 study found that "almost all UK regions are systematically more vulnerable to Brexit than regions in any other country."[47] A 2017 study examining the economic impact of Brexit-induced reductions in migration found that there would likely be "a significant negative impact on UK GDP per capita (and GDP), with marginal positive impacts on wages in the low-skill service sector."[48][23] It is unclear how changes in trade and foreign investment will interact with immigration, but these changes are likely to be important.[23]
In October 2021, the UK government’s Office of Budget Responsibility calculated that Brexit would cost 4% of GDP per annum over the long term.[49] 4% of 2021 UK GDP is the equivalent of a £32bn cost per annum to the UK taxpayer.[50] After rebates, the UK’s EU membership fee in 2018 was £13.2bn.[51]
CIPS has reported think tank Campaign for European Reform's research, which found that UK goods trade was 11.2%, or £8.5bn, lower in September 2021 than it would have been according to the Office for Budget Responsibility's forecast in March 2016.[52] -
2022-08-16 at 12:25 PM UTC
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2022-08-18 at 4:27 PM UTClol:
"A drunk Russian man became aggressive and tried to attack paramedics & bystanders in Warsaw today.
He yelled that Poland is happy to offer its sexual services to USA.
He was quickly wrestled to the ground by the paramedics & other Poles.
The police arrested him
Tourist visa? https://t.co/UAWW8jdOkj" -
2022-08-18 at 4:32 PM UTClol at the twitter comments from Pollacks.
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2022-08-18 at 4:32 PM UTCAldra?
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2022-08-18 at 7:22 PM UTC
Originally posted by fuckerofmothersandsuckeroffathers Lol balkanizing Europe again would be fucking hilarious.
Long-term impact on the UK economy
Further information: UK cost of living crisis
There was overwhelming or near-unanimous agreement among economists that leaving the European Union would adversely affect the British economy in the medium- and long-term.[a][38] Surveys of economists in 2016 showed overwhelming agreement that Brexit would likely reduce the UK's real per-capita income level.[39][29][30] 2017 and 2019 surveys of existing academic research found that the credible estimates ranged between GDP losses of 1.2–4.5% for the UK,[38] and a cost of between 1 and 10% of the UK's income per capita.[23] These estimates varied depending on whether the UK left via a 'hard' or 'soft' Brexit.[23] In January 2018, the UK government's own Brexit analysis was leaked; it showed that UK economic growth would be stunted by 2–8% for at least 15 years following Brexit, depending on the leave scenario.[40][41]
According to most economists, EU membership has a strong positive effect on trade and, as a result, the UK's trade would be worse off when it left the EU.[42][43][44][45] According to a study by University of Cambridge economists, under a hard Brexit, whereby the UK reverts to WTO rules, one-third of UK exports to the EU would be tariff-free, one-quarter would face high trade barriers and other exports risk tariffs in the range of 1–10%.[46] A 2017 study found that "almost all UK regions are systematically more vulnerable to Brexit than regions in any other country."[47] A 2017 study examining the economic impact of Brexit-induced reductions in migration found that there would likely be "a significant negative impact on UK GDP per capita (and GDP), with marginal positive impacts on wages in the low-skill service sector."[48][23] It is unclear how changes in trade and foreign investment will interact with immigration, but these changes are likely to be important.[23]
In October 2021, the UK government’s Office of Budget Responsibility calculated that Brexit would cost 4% of GDP per annum over the long term.[49] 4% of 2021 UK GDP is the equivalent of a £32bn cost per annum to the UK taxpayer.[50] After rebates, the UK’s EU membership fee in 2018 was £13.2bn.[51]
CIPS has reported think tank Campaign for European Reform's research, which found that UK goods trade was 11.2%, or £8.5bn, lower in September 2021 than it would have been according to the Office for Budget Responsibility's forecast in March 2016.[52]
Most of this is only because the EU is a protectionist block. -
2022-08-18 at 9:08 PM UTC
Originally posted by Sophie Most of this is only because the EU is a protectionist block.
All economies are protectionist, whether overtly or not doesn't matter. The UK has weak bargaining power against this, and really their only allies are only so in the sort of way you might care for an abducted child; they're going to get fucked after you give the reassuring pats. The UK is fucked. -
2022-08-19 at 1:56 AM UTC
Originally posted by troon All economies are protectionist, whether overtly or not doesn't matter. The UK has weak bargaining power against this, and really their only allies are only so in the sort of way you might care for an abducted child; they're going to get fucked after you give the reassuring pats. The UK is fucked.
All of Europe has been fucked for 4 decades -
2022-08-20 at 12:46 AM UTC
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2022-08-20 at 1:13 PM UTC
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2022-08-21 at 5:28 PM UTC
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2022-08-22 at 4:49 AM UTC
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2022-08-23 at 10:10 AM UTC
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2022-08-23 at 1:41 PM UTC
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2022-08-23 at 1:45 PM UTCdenial
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2022-08-23 at 1:46 PM UTC
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2022-08-23 at 2:23 PM UTC
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2022-08-23 at 5:25 PM UTC
