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Thanked Posts by -SpectraL
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2020-10-27 at 2:10 PM UTC in Prophecies are not propheciesHow did she know her videos were hotlinked here?The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-27 at 1:59 PM UTC in Joe biden is confused who he's running against
Originally posted by Jiggaboo_Johnson Tech responded to this 2 mins after you posted the original with a laugh emote…the video is 31 mins long. Either she's a time traveler or she didn't watch the video but instead ignorantly responded anyway with the laugh emote.
She's not interested in the truth at all.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire! -
2020-10-26 at 3 PM UTC in Wait a minute, I don't get itJust because there's no systematic racism doesn't mean there aren't any racists. Your "logic" is on par with that of a five-year-old.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-25 at 5:09 PM UTC in Lol @ Russian bots saying nobody is going to Biden's rallies, and Republicants beliving it
Originally posted by larrylegend8383 Spectral: "Everyone is going to get the virus! You cannot stop it!"
"Oh some conservatives tested positive for the virus? IMPOSSIBLE! Don't be foolish."
I never said it's impossible, I said the prognosis is based on unreliable data, therefore the determination can't be proven or trusted. Fruit of the poisonous tree.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire! -
2020-10-25 at 2:04 PM UTC in Lol @ Russian bots saying nobody is going to Biden's rallies, and Republicants beliving itAllow me to explain the impact of a false positive rate of 0.8% on Pillar 2. We return to our 10,000 people who’ve volunteered to get tested, and the expected ten with virus (0.1% prevalence or 1:1000) have been identified by the PCR test. But now we’ve to calculate how many false positives are to accompanying them. The shocking answer is 80. 80 is 0.8% of 10,000. That’s how many false positives you’d get every time you were to use a Pillar 2 test on a group of that size.
The effect of this is, in this example, where 10,000 people have been tested in Pillar 2, could be summarised in a headline like this: “90 new cases were identified today” (10 real positive cases and 80 false positives). But we know this is wildly incorrect. Unknown to the poor technician, there were in this example, only 10 real cases. 80 did not even have a piece of viral RNA in their sample. They are really false positives.
I’m going to explain how bad this is another way, back to diagnostics. If you’d submitted to a test and it was positive, you’d expect the doctor to tell you that you had a disease, whatever it was testing for. Usually, though, they’ll answer a slightly different question: “If the patient is positive in this test, what is the probability they have the disease?” Typically, for a good diagnostic test, the doctor will be able to say something like 95% and you and they can live with that. You might take a different, confirmatory test, if the result was very serious, like cancer. But in our Pillar 2 example, what is the probability a person testing positive in Pillar 2 actually has COVID-19? The awful answer is 11% (10 divided by 80 + 10). The test exaggerates the number of covid-19 cases by almost ten-fold (90 divided by 10). Scared yet? That daily picture they show you, with the ‘cases’ climbing up on the right-hand side? Its horribly exaggerated. Its not a mistake, as I shall show.
Earlier in the summer, the ONS showed the virus prevalence was a little lower, 1 in 2000 or 0.05%. That doesn’t sound much of a difference, but it is. Now the Pillar 2 test will find half as many real cases from our notional 10,000 volunteers, so 5 real cases. But the flaw in the test means it will still find 80 false positives (0.8% of 10,000). So its even worse. The headline would be “85 new cases identified today”. But now the probability a person testing positive has the virus is an absurdly low 6% (5 divided by 80 + 5). Earlier in the summer, this same test exaggerated the number of COVID-19 cases by 17-fold (85 divided by 5). Its so easy to generate an apparently large epidemic this way. Just ignore the problem of false positives. Pretend its zero. But it is never zero.
This test is fatally flawed and MUST immediately be withdrawn and never used again in this setting unless shown to be fixed. The examples I gave are very close to what is actually happening every day as you read this.
I’m bound to ask, did Mr Hancock know of this fatal flaw? Did he know of the effect it would inevitably have, and is still having, not only on the reported case load, but the nation’s state of anxiety. I’d love to believe it is all an innocent mistake. If it was, though, he’d have to resign over sheer incompetence. But is it? We know that internal scientists wrote to SAGE, in terms, and, surely, this short but shocking warning document would have been drawn to the Health Secretary’s attention? If that was the only bit of evidence, you might be inclined to give him the benefit of the doubt. But the evidence grows more damning.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire! -
2020-10-26 at 10:33 PM UTC in ATTN: law enforcementOP is another lifetime membership, card-carrying, Fun Bunch goon.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-26 at 3:28 PM UTC in Chris Cuomo socializes mask-free at private members clubDon't do as I do, do as I say.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-18 at 8:23 PM UTC in NIS NONCE listThe following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-25 at 2:06 PM UTC in Lol @ Russian bots saying nobody is going to Biden's rallies, and Republicants beliving itThe following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-25 at 6:10 PM UTC in Pence Aids test positive for COVID-19Highly unlikely. The PCR test was never designed to identify any virus.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-25 at 2:33 PM UTC in Why are people dying so young?It's all the toxins and poisons the New World Order globalists and their useful idiots put in the food, air and water. It's a concentrated attack.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-22 at 6:02 PM UTC in Voter Fraud in the USThe following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-24 at 2:07 AM UTC in Twitter shuts down entire network to prevent negative Biden publicityThe following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-22 at 5:49 PM UTC in Hunter Biden's laptop has CP on itKnew a guy named Gaylord. We just called him Gay, for short.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-22 at 10:49 PM UTC in Does anyone want to come to england and get stabbed?
Originally posted by cigreting yea n act all concerned n say shit like omg ru okey m8?!
In China, it's common practice to back over people you ran over. If you leave them alive, they sue you and you pay for the rest of their disabled life, but if you back over them and finish them off, nobody cares. It's just good economic sense.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire! -
2020-09-10 at 10:47 PM UTC in Like A Cornered Rat...
Originally posted by the man who put it in my hood Anyone who calls the police is a scumbag. I hesitate to even report fires, fuck the state.
I would like to go back to the days of the Old West. You stake out your claim, and if anybody unwelcome steps even a foot on your property, you get to blow them away, sky high. If it was like that, you wouldn't see near as many of these idiots who like to hide behind the police for protection, with they themselves as the real criminals. In the Old West, they didn't fuck around. If they bark up the wrong tree, you get to bag 'em and tag 'em. The nearest law could be hundreds of mile away.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire! -
2020-10-22 at 9:41 PM UTC in Does anyone want to come to england and get stabbed?The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-22 at 9:40 PM UTC in Does anyone want to come to england and get stabbed?The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-22 at 7:30 PM UTC in Does anyone want to come to england and get stabbed?You can't get stabbed in England, because knives are banned. The criminals know they're banned, and they also know they'd get in big trouble if they got caught with one. The knife ban ensures no criminal would risk stabbing anyone.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2020-10-17 at 10:36 PM UTC in This forum is a bunch of cock nose supporting retardsThe following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
