Originally posted by DUSM Raylan Givens
There is zero reason for Iran to construct a bomb at the moment or any time in the near future (except in the case of all out war). It would give them zero advantage in their present situation.
Constructing a nuclear bomb is now known, fine tuned and openly available science that can be performed en masse by relatively lower skilled technicians, the manufacturing processes for which can, if needed, be spun up in months.
Except one part, which is enriching the required fissile materials.
Iran already won. They just received a delegation from North Korea 2 days ago.
If we are being real, they likely already have everything ready to go in some form.
So all relevant militaries already basically assume Iran as a nuclear power, because they basically already are. But they get all the benefits of being on the cusp of but not quite "actually" "having" nukes. It is actually a more advantageous equilibrium for them than Israel's is for Israel.
the value of nuclear weapons is as a strategic deterrent, and they won't work as a deterrent against israel (their only major regional rival), it'll just make them chimp out harder.
if it comes down to actual use, israel is a relatively small country and other weapons like chemical and thermobarics would be just as effective, if not more so, especially considering Iran has hypersonic delivery platforms now
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