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First Conflict of 2022

  1. #21
    maddie Tuskegee Airman
    Originally posted by Nile I guess I'll read up on the news.

    Haven't been keeping up on any geopolitical events while dealing with my culty fanclub stalkers.

    I'm assuming we're talking peer vs peer direct kinetic clashes? No "freedumb fiters" or Economic warfare included as that would already be happening.

    Give me a few days I suppose. Ya know I'm gonna have to open Reddit for this? Fuck.




    non-white confirmed.

    half Ukrainian, half Brasilian. white latina confirmed.
  2. #22
    Sudo Black Hole [my hereto riemannian peach]
    Originally posted by maddie half Ukrainian, half Brasilian. white latina confirmed.

    You have my attention, I want to see what your eyes look like.
  3. #23
    maddie Tuskegee Airman
    Originally posted by Sudo You have my attention, I want to see what your eyes look like.

    https://github.com/madison-craig
  4. #24
    Nile bump
    Fuck it without any research, I'm gonna vote other.

    The GERD is going to result in hard power straight up warfare on the horn. The IMF and other infrastructure banks tried to stop the Ethiopians from damming the Blue Nile(denying loans), Ethiopia funded it alone(bonds and private donations), $4 billion I think. Went ahead with the work. Addis Ababa isn't coming to the table and Sudan and Egypt are getting worried. Water is life and the Nile might as well be Egypt.

    The cabbies I've spoken to about this(Men From The Horn predominantly) have mixed opinions from its just saber rattling for a better deal in electricity, to issues of sovereignty. Ethiopia holds all the cards and is probably thinking on a long term time scale, with climate issues in mind. They wanted 5 seasons to fill the reservoir, Egypt doesn't want that dam to exist at all as it represents an existential threat or a very powerful political weapon that can be switched on and off at will.

    There's my bet.

    Heh, I guess I have a fitting name for this post lel.

    "The dam is 71 per cent complete and when finished in 2023 will be the largest hydroelectric dam in Africa"

    https://geographical.co.uk/geopolitics/hotspot/item/3690-dispute-rumbles-over-the-grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam
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  5. #25
    aldra JIDF Controlled Opposition
    Originally posted by maddie Half of my family lives in Ukraine.. yes they have conflict constantly. there is warfare and deaths multiple times a week.

    yeah, I'm talking major new conflict though, not unresolved low-level warfare and artillery skirmishes with the rebels. there hasn't been a major offensive in a while and that's probably the only way things are going to change for better or (more probably) worse.


    which part are they from?
  6. #26
    Nile bump
    Originally posted by maddie half Ukrainian, half Brasilian. white latina confirmed.

    That's Hot.
  7. #27
    Nile bump
    Originally posted by Nile Fuck it without any research, I'm gonna vote other.

    The GERD is going to result in hard power straight up warfare on the horn. The IMF and other infrastructure banks tried to stop the Ethiopians from damming the Blue Nile(denying loans), Ethiopia funded it alone(bonds and private donations), $4 billion I think. Went ahead with the work. Addis Ababa isn't coming to the table and Sudan and Egypt are getting worried. Water is life and the Nile might as well be Egypt.

    The cabbies I've spoken to about this(Men From The Horn predominantly) have mixed opinions from its just saber rattling for a better deal in electricity, to issues of sovereignty. Ethiopia holds all the cards and is probably thinking on a long term time scale, with climate issues in mind. They wanted 5 seasons to fill the reservoir, Egypt doesn't want that dam to exist at all as it represents an existential threat or a very powerful political weapon that can be switched on and off at will.

    There's my bet.

    Heh, I guess I have a fitting name for this post lel.

    "The dam is 71 per cent complete and when finished in 2023 will be the largest hydroelectric dam in Africa"

    https://geographical.co.uk/geopolitics/hotspot/item/3690-dispute-rumbles-over-the-grand-ethiopian-renaissance-dam

    Possible other dimension to the exacerbate conflict: Gold(and other minerals)

    Let our Man Shirvan drop some knowledge on ya.



    Oh snap "the west" making noise about human rights. What's gonna be my prize? I'd settle for a victorious Aksum tbh.

    https://apnews.com/article/europe-africa-geneva-united-nations-ethiopia-2d97103c994fdcbfac210ebeb3a28a1a
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  8. #28
    aldra JIDF Controlled Opposition
    Originally posted by vindicktive vinny taiwanese leadership is run by a person with pussy, therefore nothing that comes out of it is credible. they're just US poopets and they parrot what US wants it to.

    kek

    still, China hasn't build up enough IC manufacturing infrastructure to fill the void yet (they're trying to convert Shenzhen) and the massive loss of supply would affect everyone.

    Originally posted by vindicktive vinny in regards to ukraine the US tactics are more of a passive-aggressive provocations. everytime putin reiterates his redlines that he didnt want crossed and the US just keep crossing it the song 'toy soldiers' by eminem went off in my head.

    the dies are set, the US want a proxy war with russia and ukraine would be it.

    I believe all of FUKUS has already said there will be no boots on the ground if there's a war. This depends on how much control Zelensky still has over the military (vs. the hard right and the oligarchs that control them) - the US wants conflict, specifically to justify aggressive political policy, to burden Russia with an enormous military operation (since the Ukraine stopped being considered a buffer zone they've reactivated multiple shock tank brigades) and the costs associated with rebuilding any territories they capture, and to learn about the new strategic CNC networks, but also wants to stay out of it. I think with the latest developments (the EU missile crisis bit), the west in general will quietly try to prevent conflict because it's been made clear that it will lead to rapid escalation not just inside but now outside the EU.



    Originally posted by vindicktive vinny turkey wont matter anymore because erdoganomics is going to implode, collapse and then prolapse. once that happen the military will take over again and another reset will ensue.

    LOL, just a few weeks ago I was telling someone I was impressed with Erdogan, going from impulsive and retarded to cleanly winning Kharabakh and rebuilding the country, then he pulls this shit.

    Originally posted by vindicktive vinny the only real question is how far will iran respond to jéwsrael attack this time, and will biden be onboard. based on how things are going, it seems like anti-semites in biden admin is still in charge, so i dont think US is going to be directly involved should minor conflict eruptes between jéwsrael and iran. and neither will the arabs.

    I'm not sure israel will have the resolve to try it again. Iran and Hez are at their (militarily) strongest ever, with the exception of Lebanon's dire circumstance. They know their 'Iran is 2 weeks away from nuclear weapons' line is rubbish, even if nobody will openly admit it.

    The US refused to escalate further after Iran hammered their airbase for Suleimani and were driven from Afghanistan; I don't think they have the stomach for more middle-eastern wars at the moment.

    Originally posted by vindicktive vinny there will not be a so called "eu missile crisis" simply because eu defense officials and foreign affair ministers, mostly unmanned, will be too dumb and too retarded to realize they have hitchhiked themselves into a missile crisis, and will continue to assume everything is fine.

    it takes two to conflict and since the EU does not and will acknowledge there is a conflict, nothing happens.

    I always thought the 'if a tree falls down and nobody hears it, does it make a sound' thing to be retarded. it doesn't matter if they acknowledge it or not, we're on trajectory for a massive missile buildup around the world.

    Originally posted by vindicktive vinny if by "civil war" you meant what happened between the north and the south in the past, it will not happen. simply because "americans" these days no longer have what it takes to sustain and maintain that kind of endeavor. there are going to be riots and unrests, and maybe a few mass shootings and mass casualty events when the shelves run bare, but thats it.

    life in the US is just too confortable for "americans" to return to valley forge and people who say there are going to be a civil war soon just want an excuse to buy tactical dresses like fat girls using prom night as excuses to buy pretty prom dresses that
    they'll never get to wear.

    because none will ask them out.

    I posted about this recently; I think the most likely scenario is certain states telling the federal government to get fucked on divisive partisan policies like vaccines, trannies, race relations or similar and a heavy-handed federal response leading to increased hostility between states
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  9. #29
    aldra JIDF Controlled Opposition
    Originally posted by infinityshock lovingly allowed lard-ass l***y the luxury of lapping the loins-leviathan while the little lad larps as a laotian ladyboy lapdancer......... D) all of the above

    noted
  10. #30
    aldra JIDF Controlled Opposition
    Originally posted by infinityshock the entire planet is on the verge of conflict at every stage, from the localized increases in crime and interpersonal conflict all the way up to world war. this planet is more of a powder keg now than it was on the morning of sunday, june 28, 1914


    I agree
  11. #31
    POLECAT POLECAT is a motherfucking ferret [my presentably immunised ammonification]
    Originally posted by aldra you think Hillary would play second fiddle to Kamala?

    I think hillary is about to go full retard if camela gets to be the first female president .
    perhaps you missed where i said they would give camela the boot and put killary in as vp right before they out Biden for being a senile old fool.
  12. #32
    Originally posted by aldra kek

    still, China hasn't build up enough IC manufacturing infrastructure to fill the void yet (they're trying to convert Shenzhen) and the massive loss of supply would affect everyone.

    so invading taiwan by force isnt going to fix this. a military invasion at the least it would fuck up taiwanese transports and logistics, and causing a million dollars production holdups in china factories.

    people who thinks and believes there is going to be an invasion of taiwan by china must have gotten their information from §m£ÂgØL-tier chinese experts.



    I believe all of FUKUS has already said there will be no boots on the ground if there's a war. This depends on how much control Zelensky still has over the military (vs. the hard right and the oligarchs that control them) - the US wants conflict, specifically to justify aggressive political policy, to burden Russia with an enormous military operation (since the Ukraine stopped being considered a buffer zone they've reactivated multiple shock tank brigades) and the costs associated with rebuilding any territories they capture, and to learn about the new strategic CNC networks, but also wants to stay out of it. I think with the latest developments (the EU missile crisis bit), the west in general will quietly try to prevent conflict because it's been made clear that it will lead to rapid escalation not just inside but now outside the EU.

    exactly. no boots on the ground means they get to push ukraine and russia into a war without having to bear the consequences of losing and having to burry dead NATO soldiers.

    which is why i believe theyre going to push even harder for a ukro-russo conflict.


    LOL, just a few weeks ago I was telling someone I was impressed with Erdogan, going from impulsive and retarded to cleanly winning Kharabakh and rebuilding the country, then he pulls this shit.

    his retarded economic philosophy has been around for quite some time already. anyway is winning against armenia a significant achievement ?



    I'm not sure israel will have the resolve to try it again. Iran and Hez are at their (militarily) strongest ever, with the exception of Lebanon's dire circumstance. They know their 'Iran is 2 weeks away from nuclear weapons' line is rubbish, even if nobody will openly admit it.

    israel have to do something to prove the new administration isnt impotent. they will squeal as they strike iran.

    The US refused to escalate further after Iran hammered their airbase for Suleimani and were driven from Afghanistan; I don't think they have the stomach for more middle-eastern wars at the moment.

    that was just a choreographed shit show, an act and a gesture of goodwill so that both party can respectfully put the thing behind without losing faces.

    I always thought the 'if a tree falls down and nobody hears it, does it make a sound' thing to be retarded. it doesn't matter if they acknowledge it or not, we're on trajectory for a massive missile buildup around the world.

    theres truth in it. so what if russia re-arms their western borders with a nuclear missile silo every mile apart if the europeans just protest about it and make strong statements.

    nothing happens.

    i dont see how the eu would try to counter this by placing their missiles close to russia. they have other more pressing issues to worry about.


    I posted about this recently; I think the most likely scenario is certain states telling the federal government to get fucked on divisive partisan policies like vaccines, trannies, race relations or similar and a heavy-handed federal response leading to increased hostility between states

    they can try but at the end of the day their money still comes from federal reserve and the people who run them still comes from the corporations.

    the differences between the state and the federal government will just be handled like how they're handling the gun issues.
  13. #33
    Obbe Alan What? [annoy my right-angled speediness]
    The prize is a lie.
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  14. #34
  15. #35
    Quick Mix Ready Dark Matter [jealously defalcate my upanishad]
    It will be between Iran and SoI and the Jedi's most likely will start it but blame first strike on them by Iran because they're not Real G-d's Jedi but Faux Jedi


    also I would fuck the freckles off of Psaki's Chest. she's not half bad looking.

    Looks Irish but she's a fucking POLE_LACK


    Also Merry Christmas. Not XMas as the Faux Jedi wish you to say so it doesn't ruin their Chanukkiah.

    and No. You're the Anti-Semite Faux Jedi Cause you're not a Religious Jedi but a Cultural one.


    Rev 3:9
  16. #36
    Quick Mix Ready Dark Matter [jealously defalcate my upanishad]
    Where is Rabbit Weed aka Rabbi T Weed to tell us that we're hiding under a thin veil.

    He's ADL and DEA all these years Ooooooooooo Moooomph mooooomph

    pucker up, Lanny. Santa wants to kiss you with his big tight budhole
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  17. #37
    ok, i would just like to explain to those who arent economically initiated of whats about to happen to turkish economy as erdrogan usher his entire helpless nation in into a new phase of errdroganomics.

    according to errdrogan, he is going to make his government compensate turkish lira savers who have lost their purchasing powers due to inflation/currency depreciation; by printing more turkish liras and pump it straight into peoples saving accounts.

    what this really is, as the economically initiated will tell you .... is

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  18. #38
    Quick Mix Ready Dark Matter [jealously defalcate my upanishad]
    fuk sakes vinny.


    anyways, I was right. I said SoI will be going after Iran. they are stating that Iran was making plans and making threats of nuking a factory in State of Israel

    I'm curious how far Iran has advanced over these past years since they booted out the nuke inspectors.

    I think this will be added to the conflict of 2022 or perhaps 2023. usually, there is a year of deplomacy attempts putting things off a few months followed up by talks for a few months to pulling out and then deadlines and so maybe by Christmas of next year.
  19. #39
    Quick Mix Ready Dark Matter [jealously defalcate my upanishad]
    jedis in State of Israel predicting next years Pandemic to be caused by a massive Bird Flu outbreak.

    so if Covid goes away, we are looking at the Avien Flu now.

    I need to get a Pneumonia shot soon.
  20. #40
    Nile bump
    Iran didn't "boot out" any inspectors.

    The US torpedoed a 5 party agreement unilaterally.


    Hmmmm 33.3 for ukrain? Schizo-gematria is almost turning my opinion.
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