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Attn: Aldra
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2019-06-20 at 10:23 PM UTCMaybe you guys shouldn't have backed a widely unpopular dictator and trained SAVAK torturers? Like revolutions don't erupt from the blue, you need widespread grievances throughout society.
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2019-06-21 at 1:22 AM UTC
Originally posted by Speedy Parker There will be no war. There will be a strike that will cripple Irans economy and bring the regime to an end from internal strife.
/thread
Iran has guided ballistic missiles which can reach US military installations and ships. I'm sure they won't hesitate to launch them, because they're genuinely insane. -
2019-06-21 at 1:29 AM UTC
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2019-06-21 at 5:14 AM UTClol, the only people who fondly remember the days of the Shah are Americans. The lack of self-awareness is unreal.
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2019-06-21 at 5:25 AM UTC
Originally posted by Speedy Parker A couple a refineries and a pipeline and their money is done. The people of Iran have been looking for a way to throw the kooks at the top out. Without money they can't pay the armed forces or their proxy agents. Without armed forces and proxy forces the regime can't hold power from the people.
I have been following this since before most of the posters here were born. The people want their choice back. None of you here recall what Iran was like before the Islamic Revolution in 1979. Here is an example of the difference.
Iran in the 70's
Iran today
There are many people alive in Iran today who remember when they had the choices they had before and they want that life for the children and grandchildren. If the tyrants have no money they have no power. Without their power the people will rise against them not in support of them.
stupid americans.
have you learnt nothing from the iraqi debacle ?
the only thing thats keeping iranians pseudo secular is their economy and tech.
take that away from them and the hardcore islamists will thrive.
yea, their people will rise, the hardcore jihardhists kind. -
2019-06-21 at 5:33 AM UTC
Originally posted by Speedy Parker There will be no war. There will be a strike that will cripple Irans economy and bring the regime to an end from internal strife.
/thread
Yeah, that worked so well in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria and Yemen.
It doesn't matter whether Iran decides to attack the US directly or not. An attack on a regional power of that magnitude will throw the Middle East into chaos, regardless of strategies or tactics used, which will further accelerate the US collapse.
If we're talking about specific capabilities, Iran itself will throw hypersonic anti-ship missiles at carriers and other high-value targets across the middle-east, as well as mobilising Hezbullah and saturation-bombing israel with conventional rockets. israel has no hope of deflecting a determined attack given their 'Iron Dome' is only able to deflect around 5% of rockets (made out of bike parts and propane tanks) every time they go on a Gaza excursion and the much-vaunted 'David's Sling' failed miserably when they tried to intimidate Russian diplomats with it, and their ground forces are in a dire state.
This leads me to believe that like the US, they will be quick to turn to nuclear weapons (US threshold has been lowered several times in the last few years in light of their handicap in next-gen missile tech) which will destroy the MAD doctrine and have extremely unpredictable effects both short and long-term -
2019-06-21 at 5:37 AM UTCAlso: Russia and China absolutely will get involved. Iran is a 'red line'.
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2019-06-21 at 5:54 AM UTCApparently a strike was approved then trump backpedaled, shit is getting a little crazy.
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2019-06-21 at 5:58 AM UTC
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2019-06-21 at 10:17 AM UTC
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2019-06-21 at 10:30 AM UTCI don't think there was ever really a strike planned - they simply want to give the impression that they're both 'tough' and 'restrained', because they no longer have any non-military tools to use and an actual military response will escalate and spiral out of control very rapidly.
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2019-06-21 at 10:32 AM UTCIt’s plastered all over the news outlets, that ships and planes were in position for a strike, but were then called off. Don’t know what to believe.
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2019-06-21 at 10:53 AM UTCThe first step would be to withdraw the bulk of the CSG from the Gulf of Oman where they're currently sitting - if an attack is to occur they will first want to use standoff missiles and high altitude airstrikes from outside the range of Iran's coastal batteries before moving in for standard aircraft and troop deployment.
So keep an eye on the Abraham Lincoln I guess. -
2019-06-21 at 11:08 AM UTC
Originally posted by aldra I don't think there was ever really a strike planned - they simply want to give the impression that they're both 'tough' and 'restrained', because they no longer have any non-military tools to use and an actual military response will escalate and spiral out of control very rapidly.
this is what i like about trump administration. -
2019-06-21 at 12:41 PM UTC
Originally posted by aldra lol, the only people who fondly remember the days of the Shah are Americans. The lack of self-awareness is unreal.
How many current Iranian residents did you interview to reach this conclusion? Or are you merely offering your meaningless opinion on a matter that you have no first hand experience with? -
2019-06-21 at 12:41 PM UTC
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2019-06-21 at 12:45 PM UTC"inside every gook there's an American longing to be free"
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2019-06-21 at 2:06 PM UTCThis is what happens when you get a reasonable, God fearing, peaceful president whose favorite book is all of the Bible, but is dragged along with war mongoring, angry baggage cabineteers like Mike pompeo and Jeff sessions who want bomb the Powder Belt and build more prisons for CBD offenders.
This is why they don't last, and rightfully so. -
2019-06-21 at 2:35 PM UTC
Originally posted by Speedy Parker How many current Iranian residents did you interview to reach this conclusion? Or are you merely offering your meaningless opinion on a matter that you have no first hand experience with?
The irony here is staggering.
I've read a good deal of Iranian analysis on the subject. -
2019-06-21 at 4:08 PM UTC