User Controls
5000 rockets hit Israel
-
2024-09-27 at 5:55 PM UTC
-
2024-09-27 at 10:48 PM UTC
-
2024-09-28 at 2:46 AM UTC
-
2024-09-28 at 4:02 AM UTCThat's what some people do when they're out of good jokes.
-
2024-09-28 at 4:06 AM UTC
-
2024-09-28 at 5:33 AM UTC
-
2024-09-28 at 5:58 AM UTC
-
2024-09-28 at 1:18 PM UTC
-
2024-09-28 at 1:25 PM UTCNasrallah has been killed in an airstrike on another apartment block, was confirmed hours ago by Hezbullah.
israel is bombing the southern suburbs of Beirut nonstep, Hezbullah has been firing large salvos of artillery rockets across the north of israel as far down as Haifa, but success/whether they've started using different types of rockets is not clear as the IDF has enacted a media blackout for all rocket impacts so media coming out is limited.
Yemen attempted to strike a government building in Tel Aviv with a large ballistic missile, israel attempted to intercept it with the ARROW complex but it's unclear if it was intercepted, impacted or disintegrated midair because none of the videos show anything beyond it being followed by interceptors in flight. -
2024-09-29 at 1:04 AM UTC
-
2024-09-29 at 5:43 AM UTCapparently some people hunt boars with their asses
-
2024-09-29 at 5:56 AM UTC
-
2024-09-29 at 6:18 AM UTC
-
2024-09-29 at 6:18 AM UTC
-
2024-09-29 at 6:21 AM UTC
-
2024-09-29 at 6:24 AM UTC
Originally posted by ner vegas Nasrallah has been killed in an airstrike on another apartment block, was confirmed hours ago by Hezbullah.
israel is bombing the southern suburbs of Beirut nonstep, Hezbullah has been firing large salvos of artillery rockets across the north of israel as far down as Haifa, but success/whether they've started using different types of rockets is not clear as the IDF has enacted a media blackout for all rocket impacts so media coming out is limited.
Yemen attempted to strike a government building in Tel Aviv with a large ballistic missile, israel attempted to intercept it with the ARROW complex but it's unclear if it was intercepted, impacted or disintegrated midair because none of the videos show anything beyond it being followed by interceptors in flight.
I don't see this going unanswered, they do like their martyrs.
Finally taking those scum out will fix the middle east -
2024-09-29 at 6:48 AM UTC
Originally posted by Number13 I don't see this going unanswered, they do like their martyrs.
Finally taking those scum out will fix the middle east
I don't really understand what's going on, I feel like there's too much happening in the background that we're not aware of to make any real predictions.
israel is operating at a much higher intensity with both the assassinations and the restart of the 'Dahiyeh Doctrine' (ie. targeting civilians and infrastructure in order to put political pressure on Hezbullah), but Hezbullah has been hesitant to escalate beyond the artillery rocket salvos they've been using since October last year. They've started using longer-range rockets which puts most of the north of israel within range and have been targeting airbases and anti-air infrastructure, but these are still relatively cheap and inaccurate rockets that are doing limited damage (which is further hard to guage thanks to the israeli media blackout).
On the macro level, Hezbullah can only win by drawing the IDF into their own territory and defeating them, the humiliation of which is likely to collapse the israeli state. this is more or less guaranteed by Netenyahu's promise to 'return residents to the North' as it'll be impossible for israel to stop the constant rocket barrages without a major ground operation that pushes Hezbullah out of firing range. Hez cannot win by marching into the Galilee.
At this point I would've expected Hez to start using their more modern missiles (everything they've used so far has been available to them before the 2006 war) in order to degrade israeli military capability given that in the defensive war they WANT to fight, the effectiveness of standoff weapons will be minimised due to Hez favouring close combat and heavy cover in order to neutralise the IDF's advantages as much as possible.
It's possible they're wary of escalating at all given that it could start a chain that ends with direct US involvement or the Samsung Option, but allowing israel to operate at the level it does without a direct response begins to cause problems with morale and support within the 'resistance' umbrella, which I've been seeing a bit of (as well as obvious j*ws taking advantage of the situation to claim that Hez and Iran are impotent and not doing enough). -
2024-09-29 at 7:43 AM UTC
Originally posted by ner vegas I don't really understand what's going on, I feel like there's too much happening in the background that we're not aware of to make any real predictions.
I'm sure we'd understand more if we took the time to map out all of the interstate interactions besides just Israel/palestine/lebanon and Israel/US.
But if we did that to any meaningful extent the war would be over by the time we where done. -
2024-09-29 at 7:54 AM UTC
Originally posted by ner vegas On the macro level, Hezbullah can only win by drawing the IDF into their own territory and defeating them
Hezbollah isn't in a "proper" military conflict with Israel (yet). I'm sure Hezbollah has some hope that it can economically exhaust Israel to some degree by displacing it's citizens and destroying infrastructure, but that only goes so far.
Hamas doing this too in the event that started this thread was a great try, but total warfare takes a long time to be implemented with great efficacy in modern wars thanks to AA and ADS, not to mention the amount of information that is probably required to acquire and neutralize targets.
There is no way of knowing whether Hezbollah can win or not, or how they can win, until we know what their goals are. -
2024-09-29 at 1:37 PM UTC
