It is foolish I think to sit here and claim that Trump will surely win in November. Trump supporters run the risk of doing what the democrats did in 2016, and what some people in this thread are doing - acting as if they have already won.
Trump has anywhere between 40-65% chance of re-election, anything outside those bounds is ignorance and wishful thinking.
This election is not settled and it could go either way.
One thing we learned from 2016 is democrats handle loss a lot worse than republicans lol. Not a surprising thing considering so much of their rhetoric is centred around moral ground-standing and ethical elitism.
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Speedy Parker
Black Hole
[my absentmindedly lachrymatory gazania]
Originally posted by Qhost
It is foolish I think to sit here and claim that Trump will surely win in November. Trump supporters run the risk of doing what the democrats did in 2016, and what some people in this thread are doing - acting as if they have already won.
Trump has anywhere between 40-65% chance of re-election, anything outside those bounds is ignorance and wishful thinking.
This election is not settled and it could go either way.
One thing we learned from 2016 is democrats handle loss a lot worse than republicans lol. Not a surprising thing considering so much of their rhetoric is centred around moral ground-standing and ethical elitism.
The democrats are making the exact same mistakes with different faces. Their only message is Trump sucks. They can't and won't win.
Originally posted by Speedy Parker
The democrats are making the exact same mistakes with different faces. Their only message is Trump sucks. They can't and won't win.
More and more pieces are falling into place, but it is not settled yet. Trump has the foundation to secure a high likelihood of re-election but I'm not confident yet to declare it either way.
The three things that are going to be critical until the election:
The state of the economy. The presidential debates. The BLM riots.
Speedy Parker
Black Hole
[my absentmindedly lachrymatory gazania]
Originally posted by Qhost
More and more pieces are falling into place, but it is not settled yet. Trump has the foundation to secure a high likelihood of re-election but I'm not confident yet to declare it either way.
The three things that are going to be critical until the election:
The state of the economy. The presidential debates. The BLM riots.
The economy is rocking during shutdown better than it ever did under Obama. Over 7 million new jobs during May and June.
The debates? Please. Biden can't hardly follow a script yet alone think on his feet.
BLM riots are helping Trump.
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Originally posted by Speedy Parker
The economy is rocking during shutdown better than it ever did under Obama. Over 7 million new jobs during May and June.
The debates? Please. Biden can't hardly follow a script yet alone think on his feet.
BLM riots are helping Trump.
You are largely correct.
The recovery for economy is critical for the next few months as well as the handling and narrative around the lock-down that caused the economy to shutter in the first place. Trumps "Reopen America" is a positive narrative vs the democrats "Shut it all down, curtail liberty" in the name of a virus that every day is showing to be less and less dangerous as previously thought.
I'm giving Biden a 25% chance to have an election losing meltdown during the debates. I would not be surprised if the democrats try and cite covid as a reason to have online debates where Biden can cheat and use a teleprompter. Trump has maybe a 2% chance of something awful happening during the debates that sink his re-election. Remember the majority of democrats are not voting for Biden because they like him, but rather because he is their only option. It won't take much to push voters into either not showing up or switching for team Trump.
The BLM riots as you say are helping Trump. The longer they go on and more crime skyrockets the better for him. The state of democrat run cities in america is disgusting and is a major attack vector for Trump.
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Speedy Parker
Black Hole
[my absentmindedly lachrymatory gazania]
Originally posted by MORALLY SUPERIOR BEING 2020 IV: Intravenous Soyposting
Notice how none of Trump's critics bring him up - they know he's one of those things they're not allowed to notice.
Speedy Parker
Black Hole
[my absentmindedly lachrymatory gazania]
Originally posted by MORALLY SUPERIOR BEING 2020 IV: Intravenous Soyposting
What have I got on Kushner? Genuinely laughing my ass off, I wouldn't know where to begin.
Typical response from your kind when faced with the prospect of presenting facts. The truth is you don't know where to begin becasue all you have are talking points that you parrot.
Originally posted by infinityshock lovingly allowed lard-ass lanny the luxury of lapping the loins-leviathan while the little lad larps as a laotian ladyboy lapdancer................. (banned)
i must be the only one seeing the irony of some attention whore sputtering on about trust when the whore was literally committing a crime when she recorded the conversation of a family member.
the hypocrisy of these leftist pinko commies is hilarious in the way that a wheel-chair bound retard bouncing down a long flight of stairs while trying to shave with a really sharp razor onto railroad tracks with an oncoming freight train is.
The amount of warping and disfiguring that has been done to the democratic political position as a consequence of a deranged need to be against trump on everything is so extreme that at this point I simply hope Trump wins so the democrats will implode a bit faster and reform into a party worth voting for.
Originally posted by Speedy Parker
Typical response from your kind when faced with the prospect of presenting facts. The truth is you don't know where to begin becasue all you have are talking points that you parrot.
You caught me, I have nothing on Kushner. Him and his family are squeaky clean. I'm just a bigot.
Speedy Parker
Black Hole
[my absentmindedly lachrymatory gazania]
Originally posted by MORALLY SUPERIOR BEING 2020 IV: Intravenous Soyposting
You caught me, I have nothing on Kushner. Him and his family are squeaky clean. I'm just a bigot.
Your attempt at sarcasm to escape presenting facts only serves to weaken the vailidity of your position.
Originally posted by Speedy Parker
Has anybody thought to themselves, "I wonder why she never said anything in 2016"?
Donald's sister was taped unknowingly and, therefore spoke freely as she was talking with a family member in private. She did not have her guard up. The judge was not speaking on the record (as far as she knew).
