User Controls

Iraq - Major Escalation Underway (January 2020)

  1. #1
    aldra JIDF Controlled Opposition
    We're starting the New Year with a bang, apparently - Iraq appears to be going up in flames, and it's quite likely to spread all across the Middle East.

    This current episode starts with a rocket attack (MLRS rocket artillery) on the Iraqi K1 Airbase on the 27/12/19, killing one US contractor, two Iraqi military and injuring several Iraqi and US soldiers. The US immediately blamed an Iraqi PMU, 'Khataib Hezbullah', for the attack and launched airstrikes against five installations that it characterised as 'KH bases'. The airstrikes killed 32 and injured 40+, among the dead and wounded both members of PMUs (which are now officially part of the Iraqi military) and Iraqi military regulars in the Missile Brigades. Following this attack hundreds of protesters attempted to enter the US Embassy in Baghdad (following on from mass-funerals held for the killed soldiers), overwhelming Iraqi security forces and pushing into the 'Green Zone'. In response the US military deployed around 100 marines to defend the embassy, using tear gas and less-lethal munitions to deter the protesters. The majority of them were eventually dispersed at the request of the Iraqi government and PMU leadership. On the 3/01/2020, a new attack was launched against Baghdad International Airport, ostensibly with the same 107mm rockets that'd been used previously. The rockets did little material damage to the airport but started fires, forcing it to be temporarily shut down, and destroyed the vehicle of Mohammed Redha Al-Jabri, a high-ranking official with the PMUs. Two others traveling with him were also killed, though their names have not yet been released - at the moment, one is thought to be Qassam Soleimani.


    There's a lot to unpack here, so let's start from the beginning - the facts of the original K1 attack.

    The Iraqi K1 airbase is known to be a hub for US PMC (Private Military Companies such as Blackwater/Academi etc.) activity, though it's also manned by Iraqi and US regular military. The attack was a barrage of ~30 107mm KAYTUSHA-style rocket artillery and killed one US contracter, two Iraqi soldiers and injured several others. The US immediately placed the blame on the Khata'ib Hezbullah PMU (Iraqi Popular Mobilisation Units are paramailitary groups that were raised to fight ISIS and were later officially folded into the Iraqi military) without providing any evidence or explanation as to why they would have targeted an Iraqi military installation rather than US forces directly. Iraqi Special Forces found what was thought to be the launch site, a makeshift MLRS rack welded into the bed of a truck, and took several photos:


    There are some interesting points here:

    1. Missiles do not appear to have been fired from here. Blowback would've blackened the entire enclosure, not just the actual racks.
    2. Racks are at much too low an angle for rocket artillery and do not appear to be adjustable.
    3. Four unfired missiles were left in the rack, likely to prove an 'Iranian link'.
    3. The missiles, Iranian-made KATYUSHA clones, are of the very same batch that have been recovered from (US-backed and armed) SDF/YPG bunkers in Syria (http://archive.is/wip/r8Asr).

    So we have an indiscriminate attack that happens to kill a US contractor and what is likely a staged launch site meant to point the finger at Iran. The US immediately blames an Iraqi PMU called 'Khataib Hezbullah' on the basis that it regards Hezbullah as a terrorist group, even though KH is not officially affiliated with it and does not fall under its command. Hezbullah literally translates to 'Party/Group of God' and is not an uncommon name among fighting units in general. KH in particular has fully Iraqi leadership and reports directly into the military chain of command.
    It's also worth noting that the name of the contractor killed has not been released, which is strange as the US media usually plays up deaths and the loss felt by their families to generate emotional support for a military response. It is possible that the contractor death was entirely fabricated.

    Next - in response to the attack, the US launched airstrikes against 5 installations it claimed to be 'Khataib Hezbullah bases'. First and foremost, KH is an Iraqi PMU and does not operate alone. The bases attacked were combined PMU/Military (PMUs are now officially part of the Iraqi military, so these attacks were directed in whole against the Iraqi military), and there were significant casualties among both the PMUs and Missile Brigades. I'll leave this one at a few notes because much more pressing issues have come up.

    1. None of the bases were within 300km or so of K1, meaning none of the people killed could've been directly involved in the initial attack.
    2. All of the targets were either part of or in the region of the Al-Qaim border crossing, which has long been a point of contention. It's the only border checkpoint between Iraq and Syria currently open, and it was opened by the Iraqi government to incessant protests from the US and israel. Since its opening it's been regularly attacked by israeli assets operating out of US bases. Essentially, the US wants to be the only party able to control transit into and out of Syria.

    Finally, there was a barrage of assumed-KATYUSHA missiles against the Damascus International Airport. The airport itself wasn't significantly damaged, but it was temporarily shut down due to fires and it was initially reported that a car was struck in front of the airport, killing its occupants.

    This was immediately treated as suspicious because the road in question is a highway with almost no traffic, meaning that the car struck was not parked and likely would've been traveling at 80+km/h, making a random strike unlikely. As it turned out, the initial missile barrage was used as a distraction to mask a targeted drone strike against that car, which killed at least two high-ranking Iraqi PMU officials as well as Qassam Soleimani, the Iranian head of the Al-Quds force and IRGC (which was only very recently confirmed).

    As it stands, there are more questions that answers. It seems to me that the initial attack was staged in order to enact a pre-planned 'response', but several of the steps still do not make sense. This leads me to believe that parts are still in motion. Will post more later.
    The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
  2. #2
    title should have been "hitchhiked into escalation".

    next time consult me for interestimg titles if you dont have one.
  3. #3
    larrylegend8383 African Astronaut
    Stopped reading at "the majority of them were eventually dispersed at the request of Iraqi government and PMU leadership"

    lol yeah I'm sure it had nothing to do with the US Marines there
  4. #4
    too.dark.to.see Tuskegee Airman
    You don't have any of the facts

    Key point:

    Missile attacks can be used as signalling devices. The exact dates and locations and types and numbers is not going to be broadcast to potentially communicate coded messages to their agents in western nations.

    Most of your analysis is extremely flawed.

    You are relying on open source military intelligence. You are quoting batch numbers which again, can be used to communicate code. It is all sanitised.

    You lose again dumbshit.
  5. #5
    Technologist motherfucker
    Originally posted by too.dark.to.see You don't have any of the facts

    Key point:

    Missile attacks can be used as signalling devices. The exact dates and locations and types and numbers is not going to be broadcast to potentially communicate coded messages to their agents in western nations.

    Most of your analysis is extremely flawed.

    You are relying on open source military intelligence. You are quoting batch numbers which again, can be used to communicate code. It is all sanitised.

    You lose again dumbshit.

    Ahhh yeah, it’s Wereallbrownosers. Had some doubt, but it’s fading fast.
  6. #6
    aldra JIDF Controlled Opposition
    Originally posted by larrylegend8383 Stopped reading at "the majority of them were eventually dispersed at the request of Iraqi government and PMU leadership"

    lol yeah I'm sure it had nothing to do with the US Marines there

    they mostly dispersed before the marines arrived


    ***actually yeah, maybe poor phrasing in OP, the bulk of the protesters were called off by PMU leadership to 'show restraint', marines shot a few gas rounds at the stragglers, there wasn't a major incident
  7. #7
    too.dark.to.see Tuskegee Airman
    The whole point of counter intelligence is to take your mind away from the facts and issues, and you are now investigating open source military intelligence. You are a gimp. What you are filling your mind with is worse than becoming a video game addict. At least they know their mind is full of fantasy. You are living in a false reality and have no idea.
  8. #8
    aldra JIDF Controlled Opposition
    Please stop schizphreniaposting in a serious thread.
    The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
  9. #9
    CASPER Soldier of Fourchin
    Originally posted by aldra Please stop schizphreniaposting in a serious thread.

    but hes got serious schizophrenia
    The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
  10. #10
    too.dark.to.see Tuskegee Airman
    Originally posted by aldra Please stop schizphreniaposting in a serious thread.

    Please stop bringing counter intelligence designed to fuck the minds of the enemy and infiltrators to NIS.

    Keep it for yourself.
  11. #11
    too.dark.to.see Tuskegee Airman
    Originally posted by CASPER but hes got serious schizophrenia

    No I don't. I've been requested to provide evidence in court against MI5. A certified loon would not be able to do so.

    I am so well trusted by the government if you tried to harm my credibility you would be pursued to the ends of the earth.

    It's happened before. It will happen again.
  12. #12
    CASPER Soldier of Fourchin
    im convinced
    The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
  13. #13
    too.dark.to.see Tuskegee Airman
    Any further provocations will be responded to with further disclosure.

    Therefore any further provocations from you will be an intentional attempt by you to access government information you are not allowed to access.

    Which is a really dumb thing to do.

    Now fuck off and understand you are nothing and completely unwanted by me. And speaking on behalf of whom I speak on behalf of, that means give up your side interest of intelligence analysis because to further enhance my standing and credibility doors all over the intelligence and diplomatic community, all over the world, are going to have to be closed to you and anyone who continues to back you in order to keep me onside.

    How much further do you wanna take this? How much longer are you going to be an unprovoked asshole?

    It's getting extremely serious now.
  14. #14
    CASPER Soldier of Fourchin
    So if he doesnt delete the info hes posted youre gonna have him mossad'ed?
    The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
  15. #15
    CASPER Soldier of Fourchin
    Seems like itd be more efficient to start posting some irrefutable POWER TRUTH
  16. #16
    too.dark.to.see Tuskegee Airman
    No.

    He can post what he wants.

    This website is called NIS.

    As established, this website is very hard to find.

    NIS is the name of South Korean intelligence agency.

    This website is an extension of one called zoklet.

    There is a newspaper on North Korea called uriminzokkiri.

    U r, I m, in zok, k, in real internet.

    There is too much weird shit on here including the fact it is impossible to find this website.

    You can infer through association a link to South Korean intelligence agency by posting here.

    You are therefore allowing the innuendo that south Korean intelligence agency is making all these slurs against me.

    This is a very bad idea. I disclosed I have been called as a witness to provide evidence about inner workings of intelligence agency to prosecution authorities.

    Therefore, attacks against my person are strongly ill advised.

    Ask those who have gone before you. It is an extremely inadvisable thing to do. South Korean intelligence agency may be inclined to intervene and demonstrate that I am not to be disparaged. This could have far reaching consequences around the world. Do not try and direct their activities. We are in a public place. This is not a secure network.

    Coming here to state I am wrong, when I am not, and other attempts to ridicule me is extremely ill advised. This website has their name all over it. They will not approve of this.

    Aldra has stated prior he is Australian. Aldra is now inclined to discuss international security, call me wrong and call me insane.

    As an Austraian on a website called NIS.

    He could have stated why I am wrong, instead he is participating in something called NIS and using an hominem attacks whilst identifying as Australian.

    This could harm the Australian government if the simple solution is to blame them for allowing him to feel he can do this to people who may or may not be important in the grand scheme of things.

    This could cause extreme damage to the Australian government.
  17. #17
    CASPER Soldier of Fourchin
    Idk if South Korea would go to war with Australia that seems a bit extreme.
  18. #18
    Octavian motherfucker
    Originally posted by too.dark.to.see The whole point of counter intelligence is to take your mind away from the facts and issues, and you are now investigating open source military intelligence. You are a gimp. What you are filling your mind with is worse than becoming a video game addict. At least they know their mind is full of fantasy. You are living in a false reality and have no idea.

    Massive faggot
  19. #19
    Originally posted by CASPER Idk if South Korea would go to war with Australia that seems a bit extreme.

    pls stop triggering him.
  20. #20
    Japan-Is-Eternal Space Nigga
    Australia are weak and insignificant.
    Why would anyone go to war with them.
Jump to Top