What is the probability that a Danish female named Caroline got food poisoning on August 12th?

1. 2023-06-13 at 6:44 PM UTC

   #1
   WellHung Black Hole
   Folks, is it about as likely as being visited by an elf?
2. 2023-06-13 at 11:23 PM UTC

   #2
   WellHung Black Hole
   Nogs?
3. 2023-06-14 at 12:15 AM UTC

   #3
   WellHung Black Hole
   Nigs?