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THE MAGA PARTY!,,, the GOP is dead, republicans are going down with the dems,, get ready for THE MAGA PARTY lefty's
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2021-03-21 at 5:32 PM UTCThe Hill
The two women who could 'cancel' Trump
Keith Naughton, opinion contributor
It's been relatively quiet in Trump world since his speech at the CPAC confab. Just threats to unseat disloyal Republicans, demands that Republican committees cease using his name for fundraising, several no-brainer endorsements, and a jab at Meghan Markle ("I know the Queen!").
Well, quiet for Trump.
But two women bode trouble for Trump in 2022 and could sink his comeback aspirations: Sen. Lisa Murkowski (R-Alaska) and Lara Trump.
Murkowski is the only Senator facing re-election (and not definitively retiring) who voted to convict Trump. For that Trump has sworn revenge. Already, the Alaskan Republican Party has censured Murkowski, and she is sure to face a primary challenge.
Or is she?
Murkowski has not had the best relations with the Alaska GOP. The only race she has ever lost was the 2010 Republican Senate primary. But Murkowski followed that loss with a victory in the general - as a write-in! To put that in perspective, it was only the second time in U.S. history a write-in won for US Senate.
Murkowski likely won't have a primary challenge since she likely won't run as a Republican. She likely will switch to independent and run as a voice for Alaska - a quirky state that elects iconoclasts and the occasional independent. Murkowski is a survivor and has done so by meticulously serving Alaska's unique federal needs. Her recent vote (over conservative objections) to confirm Rep. Deb Haaland as the first Native American Interior Secretary was a clear nod to the large Inuit population in Alaska, for example.
After all his rhetoric, Trump has to go after Murkowski. To not do so is an admission of weakness and defeat. But Trump is an outsider to an insular state. And a rally in Ketchikan where he talks mostly about himself won't beat Murkowski. Her likely win will be a rebuke to Trump and his power over the GOP.
As difficult as the Murkowski election is, Lara Trump's potential candidacy for U.S. Senate in North Carolina is worse. A Lara Trump loss would be an abject humiliation. Lara Trump, wife of second son Eric Trump, is originally from the Tarheel State and has some decent media experience, giving her more than a little polish.
Her candidacy would be the first test for the Trump name, and it is far from certain it will go well. And if it doesn't, Donald Trump might not recover.
There is not much decent polling on a Lara Trump candidacy, but what exists is not that great. In a December poll, Lara Trump held a 24 percent to 23 percent lead over possible rival former Gov. Pat McCrory. Announced candidate (and Trump fan) Rep. Mark Walker trailed both at 7 percent. Meanwhile, the GOP preference for president had Donald Trump at 76 percent.
Now, Lara Trump cannot be expected to equal the former president, but those polling numbers show that over two-thirds of Donald Trump supporters either want to wait and see on Lara or don't want another Trump (Note: statistically speaking we cannot be certain there is 100 percent overlap between Lara and Donald supporters, but it seems a safe bet that the overlap is high).
It's hard to see a Trump losing a GOP primary, particularly when that Trump has legitimate local ties. Team Trump may even be able to clear the field of any credible candidates. But, if Lara has a close call, that would be a serious problem.
So, how would Lara do in the general election? North Carolina has been fairly reliable Republican territory, but the trend has been bad for the GOP. Since Jimmy Carter in 1976, North Carolina has voted Democratic only once. The state has elected Republican Senators fairly consistently, with only two Democratic one-termers - Kay Hagan (2009 to 2015) and John Edwards (1999 to 2005) - representing the state since 1992.
But Republican margins have narrowed precipitously. George W. Bush won the state twice with over 56 percent of the vote. Obama won in 2008, with Romney recovering the state in 2012 by just two percentage points. Trump did not crack 50 percent in either of his tight victories there.
In the Senate races, retiring Sen. Burr's margin dropped from over ten points in 2010 to less than six points in 2016. Sen. Thom Tillis has two razor-thin wins under his belt - less than two points in both 2014 and 2020. Tillis has yet to exceed 50 percent.
In politics, a win is a win - but the trend shows that winning elections for Republicans is now a tough battle.
If Lara Trump is viewed as just a proxy for outsiders rather than a real representative for North Carolina, then she simply cannot win. Her candidacy will not only necessarily be closely associated with Donald Trump, but the former president simply will not be able to control his need to be at the center of things and in control. Lara is going to be running against the Democrats and trying to keep her father-in-law operating within some set of boundaries. Good luck with that.
Donald Trump is all about winning. A winning, infallible mystique is the foundation of his power and grip on the Republican Party. Anything that chips away at that foundation is potentially fatal. Trump's ability to convince enough Republicans (and himself) that he was the victim of cheating in the 2020 election has saved that mystique for now. But entangling himself with two losing causes poses the greatest current threat to his political power.
Per his usual strategy, Trump just hinted at Lara Trump's run ("I hear she's going to run ..."), leaving an out if her prospects dim. Faced with a losing campaign, the onus will be on Lara to demur, and Donald can just claim she could have won. As such, a Lara Trump candidacy is no certainty. But for Trump, the cat is out of the bag. Lara Trump not running is still a sign of weakness.
Much has been made of Trump's problem appealing to women. Failing to attract the female vote cost Trump re-election. Two women candidates may well end his political career permanently. -
2021-03-21 at 5:36 PM UTCRent Free
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2021-03-21 at 6 PM UTCNo more free rent @ 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. for you!
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2021-03-21 at 6:54 PM UTCDeSantis is singlehandedly exposing and banning the radical leftist agenda right across Florida.
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2021-03-21 at 7:04 PM UTCThe following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2021-03-21 at 7:09 PM UTCdat nigga warped4life
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2021-03-21 at 8:58 PM UTC
Originally posted by aldra …what part of that do you think is propaganda? because there's video evidence supporting all of it
No violence, uh huh🙄
Just because some cops were in on it, and let SOME people in, there were entrances where it was a fight.
And no I don’t believe the cop that died was beat with a extinguisher. Although I’ve seen a video where you see a man throw an extinguisher and hit a cop in the head, but noooooo, it’s not violent🙄 -
2021-03-21 at 10:29 PM UTC
Originally posted by Technologist No violence, uh huh🙄
I said largely nonviolent, in that it was never organised as a violent attack on the capitol or anything else. virtually every protest becomes violent to a degree, largely due to the advent of the retarded 'counterprotest' concept. The BLM protests were much more violent on a much wider scale, resulting in far more death and destruction if this is your reasoning for the event being labeled an 'insurrection'.
Sure, call it a riot if you want, I don't personally think it quite meets that threshold but it's whatever.
Just because some cops were in on it, and let SOME people in, there were entrances where it was a fight.
the only ones that got in were let in by police. people trying to punch through police lines (especially when undermanned) are standard at any riot.
Originally posted by Technologist
And no I don’t believe the cop that died was beat with a extinguisher.
point is you did, and you were happy to repeat it without evidence because your Trusted News Sources™ were all making the accusation. -
2021-03-21 at 10:48 PM UTCYou never saw any of these hypocrites whining about the BLM/Antifa violence, when they were burning and looting police stations and killing cops in Portland. Selective partisan outrage, at its worst. Massive hypocrites.
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2021-03-21 at 10:54 PM UTCand now they live in a literal police state with the military perpetually deployed at the capital and other major citiesThe following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!
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2021-03-21 at 10:55 PM UTC
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2021-03-22 at 12:11 AM UTC
Originally posted by aldra Sure, call it a riot if you want, I don't personally think it quite meets that threshold but it's whatever.
I didn’t call it a riot, I called it an insurrection.the only ones that got in were let in by police.
That is so far from the truth. I’ll just call you a liar. Ever see the video of the cop being smashed between the doors? There were windows that were broken and people flooded in, so fuck you for your attempt to act like you know all about my country.point is you did, and you were happy to repeat it without evidence because your Trusted News Sources™ were all making the accusation.
Now here’s the real fucked up part. I didn’t recall ever arguing about him being beat with an extinguisher. But, since I like my weed, I went back and read all my posts from January 6th forward. Not once did I argue that.
I’m tired of you minimizing my knowledge of my country. You always go to some stupid insult like “you believe everything you hear”.
Fuck you Aldra. -
2021-03-22 at 12:17 AM UTC
Originally posted by Technologist I didn’t call it a riot, I called it an insurrection.
That is so far from the truth. I’ll just call you a liar. Ever see the video of the cop being smashed between the doors? There were windows that were broken and people flooded in, so fuck you for your attempt to act like you know all about my country.
Now here’s the real fucked up part. I didn’t recall ever arguing about him being beat with an extinguisher. But, since I like my weed, I went back and read all my posts from January 6th forward. Not once did I argue that.
I’m tired of you minimizing my knowledge of my country. You always go to some stupid insult like “you believe everything you hear”.
Fuck you Aldra.
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2021-03-22 at 12:21 AM UTC
Originally posted by ⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀⠀ You never saw any of these hypocrites whining about the BLM/Antifa violence, when they were burning and looting police stations and killing cops in Portland. Selective partisan outrage, at its worst. Massive hypocrites.
What a depressingly stupid fucking post. Spectral your trolling is getting sad because I imagine people are stupid enough to think like this -
2021-03-22 at 12:26 AM UTC
Originally posted by Technologist I didn’t call it a riot, I called it an insurrection.
I didn't argue that point because it's inherently self-serving to call this an insurrection and not, for example the BLM riots that attacked state municipal buildings.
The point is that it was organised as a protest and escalated into what may be considered a riot.
Originally posted by Technologist That is so far from the truth. I’ll just call you a liar. Ever see the video of the cop being smashed between the doors? There were windows that were broken and people flooded in, so fuck you for your attempt to act like you know all about my country.
no, where is it?
Originally posted by Technologist Now here’s the real fucked up part. I didn’t recall ever arguing about him being beat with an extinguisher. But, since I like my weed, I went back and read all my posts from January 6th forward. Not once did I argue that.
if I confused you with someone else, I'm sorry.
Originally posted by Technologist I’m tired of you minimizing my knowledge of my country. You always go to some stupid insult like “you believe everything you hear”.
Dig a little deeper than the 24hour news cycle and you'll stop hearing it. -
2021-03-22 at 12:27 AM UTC
Originally posted by Sudo What a depressingly stupid fucking post. Spectral your trolling is getting sad because I imagine people are stupid enough to think like this
why? the BLM protests had a much higher death toll and I don't remember seeing any of these dongs vindictively trying to blind cops with lasers -
2021-03-22 at 12:33 AM UTC
Originally posted by aldra I didn't argue that point because it's inherently self-serving to call this an insurrection and not, for example the BLM riots that attacked state municipal buildings.
The point is that it was organised as a protest and escalated into what may be considered a riot.
no, where is it?
if I confused you with someone else, I'm sorry.
Dig a little deeper than the 24hour news cycle and you'll stop hearing it.
Yeah, naw, I’m tired of your lies, and treating me like some kinda of dumb stupid girl who can’t decipher truth from reality. -
2021-03-22 at 12:35 AM UTCTechnologist how much radiation have you been exposed to in your life? I've stopped watching TV, declined dental X rays last week and am trying to only talk on hands free devices. Inb45Gradiationmakesyourteethgrow
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2021-03-22 at 12:39 AM UTC
Originally posted by Sudo Technologist how much radiation have you been exposed to in your life? I've stopped watching TV, declined dental X rays last week and am trying to only talk on hands free devices. Inb45Gradiationmakesyourteethgrow
Well I wear a dosimeter on my collar, and all my quarterly readings are considered “shallow”. The lowest measure of rems or rad.
I’m working outpatient now, so it’s very little. In the hospital I was in live radiation in surgery or fluoroscopy for hours a day. I always had my lead apron on, and distanced myself from the source. Time, distance, and shielding are ways to lower your X-ray dose.The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire! -
2021-03-22 at 12:40 AM UTC
