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Where were the polls at this point in recent history? (national average)
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2020-10-13 at 7:44 PM UTCOct 2004- Bush had a 1.8%
Oct 2008- Obama had a 5.9% lead
Oct 2012- Obama had a 3.1% lead
Oct 2016- Hilary had a 3.8% lead
Now where are we at in 2020? Right now, Biden has a 8% lead over Trump.
You have to remember too that many of these polls have adjusted their formula since 2018, as they do constantly. There was a 'secret trump vote' they didn't expect. People were ashamed to admit they were voting for him, and rightfully so. But now that they know to adjust for SHAME in a preferred presidential candidate, they can gear their polls to account for it.
8% lead, folks. NBC just did an approval poll for Trump. He has a 50% disapproval rating, which is the highest it has been through the last four years. This means that Trump is more disliked right now than ever.
He's so fucked November 3rd lol -
2020-10-13 at 8:15 PM UTCPolls are never biased xd lmao
NBC just did an approval poll for Trump. He has a 50% disapproval rating, which is the highest it has been through the last four years.
What about the fox poll that one says he's winning?!? -
2020-10-13 at 8:37 PM UTCthe poll and outcome that Al Gore won suddenly with a huge gain over the entire time it was neck to neck with Bush.
and all the news carrying it. WOOOOPSIES -
2020-10-13 at 8:47 PM UTC
Originally posted by the man who put it in my hood Polls are never biased xd lmao
What about the fox poll that one says he's winning?!?
Actually Biden is winning on Fox polls this time around
And again, this is the average of all polls. The cumulation of all bias. It's an unprecedented win for Biden and people don't even like him. They just hate trump. He's that fucking awful. -
2020-10-13 at 8:49 PM UTCI don't put much stock in polls given 2016
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2020-10-13 at 8:52 PM UTC
Originally posted by Bugz the poll and outcome that Al Gore won suddenly with a huge gain over the entire time it was neck to neck with Bush.
and all the news carrying it. WOOOOPSIES
Bush had the lead in the national average. Also Bush stole the election. If you'll recall, the Supreme court STOPPED Florida from doing a recount while they were in the middle of doing one. 5 to 4.
That's what Trump wants to happen for him.
Not very democratic to stop people from counting the votes -
2020-10-13 at 8:59 PM UTC
Originally posted by itybit I don't put much stock in polls given 2016
Hilary won popular vote by 2.1% in the election. Trump won because of the electoral college. The polls accurately predicted who would win popular vote and was only off by 1.7%. That's pretty damn accurate.
That's why I've been saying that Biden polling at these numbers is a sure win. Trump can't win the electoral college within the margin of error of the polls now. Even if it's off by 5% it means he'll lose.
And hey, maybe it's off in the other direction? Maybe Biden's real lead is more like 13%?
Probably won't be. Will probably be around an 8% lead, as the polls predict.
