2020-08-31 at 6:33 AM UTC
There is zero chance Trump will win this election
1. Demographics. Racist Nazi KKK dictator DRUMPF has - for whatever reason - failed to stop whites losing more ground here.
2. In 2016 people sat out in disgust they hated Clinton. Biden does not elicit the same reaction.
2020-08-31 at 6:36 AM UTC
aldra
JIDF Controlled Opposition
He still has a decent chance, I'd put it at 50-50 and he gains more ground the more these 'protests' go on
2020-08-31 at 9:48 AM UTC
Fonaplats
victim of incest
[daylong jump-start that nome]
Trump already won.
No one wants to be socialist.
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2020-09-01 at 12:09 AM UTC
Qhost
Houston
[defy my laboured wrester]
Trump has a real, feasible chance but it certainly isn't assured and atm a coin flip is the safe bet to approach chances.
Things Trump has going for him:
* Higher enthusiasm
* Riots which are linked to democrat support
* Pollsters coming out and admitting they don't know how to reach Trump supporters to poll them
* Trump supporters are less likely to answer polling questions honestly
* Sleepy/creepy Joe who is uninspiring
* Battleground states are closer than the national polls indicate
It's not a lot, but it's not a small amount either. I think the enthusiasm gap is the most significant advantage and might alone nullify 3-5 points of Biden's national lead.
2020-09-01 at 10:54 PM UTC
Nil
African Astronaut
[the overexcited four-footed chanar]
Yeah these riots are not helping the democrats. In areas where riots aren't put down with democratic officials at the helm will only hurt them.
Kinda a rock and hardplace for them, they crackdown and media can take the narrative wherever they want.