Coronavirus: Is my math wrong?

1. 2020-03-03 at 7:33 AM UTC

   #1
   

   SBTlauien African Astronaut
   https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/51334
   
   If there are currently 3,119 deaths and 48,215 recovered.
   
   That means for all that have had and passed the virus would be a total of 51334(100%).
   
   3,119 is 6.07% of 51334.
   
   Which mean that 6% of reported cases are fatal.
   
   But that doesn't include cases where people have it and think it's just the common flu and are not reported.
2. 2020-03-03 at 7:38 AM UTC

   #2
   

   vindicktive vinny Black Hole
   there are more undocumented cases than they are documemted ones.
3. 2020-03-03 at 7:45 AM UTC

   #3
   

   SBTlauien African Astronaut

   Originally posted by vindicktive vinny there are more undocumented cases than they are documemted ones.

   
   Yeah. But it's still something to read about. Plus it's election year, so hopefully there will be lots of fights and riots.
   
   I just want the year to be the greatest.
   The following users say it would be alright if the author of this post didn't die in a fire!

   • aldra
4. 2020-03-03 at 7:57 AM UTC

   #4
   

   vindicktive vinny Black Hole

   Originally posted by SBTlauien Yeah. But it's still something to read about. Plus it's election year, so hopefully there will be lots of fights and riots.
   
   I just want the year to be the greatest.

   
   for that to happen you (USA) must first have economic prolapse.
   
   people behave like locusts, only starvation will cause them to swarm out of their comfort zone.
5. 2020-03-03 at 4:14 PM UTC

   #5
   Jiggaboo_Johnson Black Hole

   Originally posted by SBTlauien https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/51334
   
   If there are currently 3,119 deaths and 48,215 recovered.
   
   That means for all that have had and passed the virus would be a total of 51334(100%).
   
   3,119 is 6.07% of 51334.
   
   Which mean that 6% of reported cases are fatal.
   
   But that doesn't include cases where people have it and think it's just the common flu and are not reported.

   
   There are more than 51k reported cases, last time I checked it was 90k.
6. 2020-03-03 at 4:17 PM UTC

   #6
   Jiggaboo_Johnson Black Hole
   cases:
   92,321
   Deaths:
   3,137
   recovered:
   48,458
   
   the death rate should be measured against all cases, not just the recovered ones and updated as necessary. It's a false number to measure it only against recovered as most cases are mild and pose no threat to the person with it.
   
   So you're at about 2% and as someone else mentioned that doesn't include unreported cases which could be double (or more..or less) than the reported ones.
7. 2020-03-03 at 4:44 PM UTC

   #7
   

   vindicktive vinny Black Hole

   Originally posted by Jiggaboo_Johnson cases:
   92,321
   Deaths:
   3,137
   recovered:
   48,458
   
   the death rate should be measured against all cases, not just the recovered ones and updated as necessary. It's a false number to measure it only against recovered as most cases are mild and pose no threat to the person with it.
   
   So you're at about 2% and as someone else mentioned that doesn't include unreported cases which could be double (or more..or less) than the reported ones.

   
   total cases includes recovered cases, else it'd drop.
8. 2020-03-03 at 4:56 PM UTC

   #8
   Jiggaboo_Johnson Black Hole

   Originally posted by vindicktive vinny total cases includes recovered cases, else it'd drop.

   
   Huh?
   
   of course it includes recovered cases...the 6% though is a "false" stat as it doesn't actually reflect a fatality rate. ALL cases, recovered and still infected should be included.
   
   How many people who have died from it were named "Brian" for example...if there was 1 is that 100% fatality rate?...you get the point.
9. 2020-03-03 at 5:09 PM UTC

   #9
   

   vindicktive vinny Black Hole

   Originally posted by Jiggaboo_Johnson Huh?
   
   of course it includes recovered cases…the 6% though is a "false" stat as it doesn't actually reflect a fatality rate. ALL cases, recovered and still infected should be included.
   
   How many people who have died from it were named "Brian" for example…if there was 1 is that 100% fatality rate?…you get the point.

   
   yea i meant the fatality should be 3000/90,000 X 100.
10. 2020-03-03 at 5:16 PM UTC

    #10
    Jiggaboo_Johnson Black Hole

    Originally posted by vindicktive vinny yea i meant the fatality should be 3000/90,000 X 100.

    
    Indeed.
11. 2020-03-03 at 6:26 PM UTC

    #11
    

    Kuntzschutz African Astronaut

    Originally posted by SBTlauien hopefully there will be lots of fights and riots.

    Too much fluoride and monsanto soy in the diet of the average person. People are pussies these days.
    Shit like that won't happen and won't be self sustaining or lasting if it does.
    
    It'll be over quick
12. 2020-03-14 at 8 PM UTC

    #12
    

    SBTlauien African Astronaut

    Originally posted by Jiggaboo_Johnson cases:
    92,321
    Deaths:
    3,137
    recovered:
    48,458
    
    the death rate should be measured against all cases, not just the recovered ones and updated as necessary.

    
    Maybe I'm missing something but it seems to me like it'd be more accurate to measure using deaths vs recovered, since we don't know how many of the active cases will result in death/recovery. It appears as of the main thing throwing this off is unreported illnesses.
    
    When all is said and done and the virus no longer exists, all that will be left will be deaths vs recovered, and of course unreported illnesses. Right?
13. 2020-03-14 at 8:03 PM UTC

    #13
    

    vindicktive vinny Black Hole
    when the virus no longer exist then these statistics will be meaningless.